Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. William & Mary Tribe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0955512d816d9db05058310145f9b15c56592ae19a695421bc195df918b50f0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- William & Mary Tribeof North Carolina A&T Aggies, William & Mary Tribe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 6c | 4,300$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 13c | 1,286$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.21 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 34c | 1,139$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.47 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 10c | 893.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 8c | 757.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 10c | 744.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed William & Mary Tribe | 66c | 698$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.83 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 13c | 666$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 11c | 451$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked William & Mary Tribe | 65c | 388.28$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.23 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 9c | 254.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 14c | 144.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 12c | 108.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f7…fb66backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 14c | 87.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed William & Mary Tribe | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 35c | 41.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked William & Mary Tribe | 66c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. William & Mary Tribethis page
- North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. William & Mary Tribe: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: William & Mary Tribe (-13.5)North Carolina A&T Aggies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.