Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Elon Phoenix vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe09ced28ec35bae1dc3a482abd0499aebd286309a7aa3c4c7f9c2ffa4d2ddea7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elon Phoenixof Elon Phoenix, North Carolina A&T Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Elon Phoenix | 71c | 1,655$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.03 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 31c | 1,479$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.96 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 30c | 1,006$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.56 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Elon Phoenix | 70c | 956.03$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 22c | 806.02$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.76 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Elon Phoenix | 70c | 707.82$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.91 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 8c | 520.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 18c | 466$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 26c | 354.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 12c | 169.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 12c | 126.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 30c | 106$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 10c | 102.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Elon Phoenix | 69c | 94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 22c | 74.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Elon Phoenix | 71c | 62.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…749abacked North Carolina A&T Aggies | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed North Carolina A&T Aggies | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Elon Phoenix | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Elon Phoenix | 78c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6f…b0e8backed Elon Phoenix | 73c | 20.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elon Phoenix vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesthis page
- Elon Phoenix vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 160.5Under won
- Elon Phoenix vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 161.5Under won
- Spread: Elon Phoenix (-5.5)North Carolina A&T Aggies won
- Spread: Elon Phoenix (-6.5)North Carolina A&T Aggies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.