Premier League · resolved market
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2025-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x567faf9aa5224745404e2557bc80b8f278986c415c00cd8d8e33dfe965ca4e15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 59c | 35,000$20,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,350 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 41c | 35,000$14,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,350 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 58c | 2,979$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.02 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 1,578$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.69 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 1,399$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.08 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 58c | 1,030$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.6 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 42c | 956.9$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.9 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed Yes | 42c | 594$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 42c | 520.05$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.42 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 380.7$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.09 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 43c | 304.88$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 41c | 186$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 11c | 175.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 174.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 43c | 161.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 59c | 131.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…78c9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 61c | 97.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c28…28e3backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 43c | 46.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -16.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 43c | 26.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 58c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 60c | 16.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2025-12-26?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.