Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60e44df2c18dab22efcb0d44ec65941069a40b6da1c7e8602b16805bbba86a50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsof UC Irvine Anteaters, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,621 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe33f…e413backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 50c | 845.71$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.86 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 50c | 546.76$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.44 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 50c | 399.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 50c | 285.58$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.79 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 49c | 252.87$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.91 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 52c | 230.54$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 48c | 216.81$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 142.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 51c | 138.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 49c | 107.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 104.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 99.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 49c | 70.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 48c | 41.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 41.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 22.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-1.5)this page
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine AnteatersHawaii Rainbow Warriors won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 138.5Under won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 141.5Under won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-2.5)Hawaii Rainbow Warriors won
- Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-4.5)Hawaii Rainbow Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.