Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae295287ec940d0b7ead2ef47d58c256835b082e08f2ce0265856f0e2ceadf60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 17c | 947.34$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed No | 69c | 812.41$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.06 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 42c | 576.92$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.68 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 55c | 340.29$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.53 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 552 | 5.6%31 W · 521 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked No | 78c | 225.64$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 39c | 218$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 14c | 171.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 32c | 162.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.86 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 63c | 146$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.91 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 43c | 131$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 28c | 104.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 124 | 9.7%12 W · 112 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 35c | 91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 64c | 72.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 37c | 62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 38c | 53.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 54c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…0688backed Yes | 45c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 37c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 59c | 42.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 74c | 38.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 49c | 38.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 63c | 30.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 63c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.