TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,146 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under78c1,510$1,176 inWon+$333.441,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over23c1,322$300 inLost-$3004654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over8c1,045$81 inLost-$80.97,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over21c922.48$193 inLost-$193.4311237.5%42 W · 70 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over5c350.22$18 inLost-$17.516538.5%25 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42fc…a43cbacked Under77c324$249 inWon+$74.521275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under78c230$180 inWon+$502,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over24c131.89$31 inLost-$31.141,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd83…d102backed Under76c131.58$100 inWon+$31.58650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over11c118.61$13 inLost-$13.435,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under77c68.49$53 inWon+$15.7527360.8%166 W · 107 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under78c55.55$43 inWon+$12.222755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under79c50$40 inWon+$10.528049.6%139 W · 141 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under79c19.46$15 inWon+$4.099045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.51822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-56.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Under80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.