Other European Leagues · resolved market
Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: Halmstads BK O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d57bc8f67d4daee875e8e495ec59d1f9f8842e12fe04b12cf2558a63fb9c978
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Over | 54c | 4,234$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 58c | 1,656$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Under | 42c | 1,089$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.7 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 45c | 766.25$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.44 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 760$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 760$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 759.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 44c | 712.96$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 45c | 362.12$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.55 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9583…fa5dbacked Over | 58c | 279.4$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 254.32$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 220.46$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 208.28$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 56c | 205.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 156.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 44c | 118.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 109.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 44c | 97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 45c | 86.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 42c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Over | 46c | 35.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under | 45c | 33.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 43c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 49c | 28.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…2b4fbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: Halmstads BK O/U 0.5this page
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: Djurgardens IF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: Djurgardens IF 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: Djurgardens IF O/U 1.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: Djurgardens IF O/U 2.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: Halmstads BK 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: Halmstads BK O/U 1.5Under won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: Halmstads BK O/U 2.5Under won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)Djurgardens IF won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-2.5)Djurgardens IF won
- Spread: Halmstads BK (-1.5)Djurgardens IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.