Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Buse (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aba836ab01f5a5c7fccb7266a7dab38f6b0d1d9d2eb116e8e436e3beeadb42e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Koprivaof Buse, Kopriva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Buse | 23c | 1,200$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Kopriva | 62c | 993.99$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.72 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kopriva | 66c | 703.26$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.6 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kopriva | 61c | 639.51$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.41 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Kopriva | 60c | 618.66$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.83 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Buse | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Buse | 38c | 504.87$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.26 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Buse | 31c | 354.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Buse | 40c | 338.51$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Buse | 50c | 253.83$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.41 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Buse | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Buse | 44c | 229.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Buse | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Kopriva | 50c | 179.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Kopriva | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Buse | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Kopriva | 63c | 111.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Kopriva | 51c | 99.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kopriva | 45c | 97.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Kopriva | 55c | 93.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Buse | 60c | 92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Buse | 12c | 85.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Kopriva | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Kopriva | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Kopriva | 21c | 55.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Buse | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Buse | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…317abacked Buse | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Buse | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Buse | 79c | 48.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kopriva | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Kopriva | 51c | 42.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Kopriva | 62c | 38.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Buse | 34c | 29.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Buse (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)this page
- Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio BuseIgnacio Buse won
- Kopriva vs. Buse: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Kopriva vs. Buse: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Kopriva vs. Buse: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Kopriva vs BuseBuse won
- Set 2 Winner: Kopriva vs BuseKopriva won
- Vit Kopriva vs. Ignacio Buse: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.