Tennis · resolved market
Vit Kopriva vs. Ignacio Buse: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99a214975dddba163b8ff2f798cc204e1f0bfe42b4ab61bcda1d6e25e66e4296
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under 2.5 | 57c | 1,439$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.98 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over 2.5 | 59c | 412.75$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.01 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Over 2.5 | 42c | 411.76$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.82 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…b071backed Over 2.5 | 75c | 397.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Under 2.5 | 31c | 354.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…624fbacked Over 2.5 | 61c | 292.41$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Under 2.5 | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under 2.5 | 49c | 219.13$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over 2.5 | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Under 2.5 | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 186.17$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Under 2.5 | 56c | 171.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under 2.5 | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…1256backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 115.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over 2.5 | 52c | 96.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Under 2.5 | 38c | 86.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…ad74backed Under 2.5 | 16c | 85.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under 2.5 | 51c | 58.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Under 2.5 | 38c | 35.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 33.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over 2.5 | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under 2.5 | 60c | 26.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vit Kopriva vs. Ignacio Buse: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio BuseIgnacio Buse won
- Kopriva vs. Buse: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Kopriva vs. Buse: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Kopriva vs. Buse: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Kopriva vs BuseBuse won
- Set 2 Winner: Kopriva vs BuseKopriva won
- Set Handicap: Buse (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)Kopriva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.