La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cd072c22615f0afcb9aeccf494bff56506444990d85f1ae5008808d12d07496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 69c | 44,460$30,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,603.97 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 30c | 20,108$6,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,028.34 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 31c | 10,835$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.85 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 9,288$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.34 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 31c | 3,110$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 1,785$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.13 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 69c | 1,511$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.24 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 1,281$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.96 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 3c | 342.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…6ca4backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 31c | 286.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 24c | 269.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 224.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 30c | 129$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 106.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 26c | 102.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 79.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 26c | 75.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 29.8%37 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked No | 70c | 74.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 70c | 66.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89a…49a4backed Yes | 26c | 56.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 75c | 55.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 77c | 14.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-24?No won
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.