Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: KF Shkëndija 79 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x148b86b9f8cc24171a91e14d12f73d387466de784a71509029dd8a4150cb3142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Europa FCof KF Shkëndija 79, Europa FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 44c | 2,002$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.37 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Europa FC | 56c | 1,987$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.86 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Europa FC | 36c | 1,142$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.36 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Europa FC | 36c | 995$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.66 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 64c | 667$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.58 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 61c | 491$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Europa FC | 39c | 455.74$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 65c | 455.49$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.07 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Europa FC | 35c | 439$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.35 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 62c | 418.79$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.37 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.79 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 65c | 282.8$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.89 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 49c | 243.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Europa FC | 39c | 136$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Europa FC | 39c | 129.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 64c | 111.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Europa FC | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 63c | 88.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 67c | 70.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 61cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Europa FC | 54c | 65.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 63c | 53.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 64c | 37.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed KF Shkëndija 79 | 65c | 37.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked KF Shkëndija 79 | 65c | 31.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: KF Shkëndija 79 (-1.5)this page
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Europa FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Europa FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Europa FC: Europa FC O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Europa FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Europa FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Europa FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Europa FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Europa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: KF Shkëndija 79 (-2.5)Europa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.