TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc482…b505backed Under40c4,942$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.421947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9da0…523cbacked Over72c3,500$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under60c3,350$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over46c3,258$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.3221143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under54c3,147$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.042853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6207549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Over50c2,079$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under41c1,634$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.59616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-75.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe24f…0c5abacked Over61c1,462$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over50c1,135$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.0859348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.833834.2%13 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c1,000$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53630448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c983.58$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.6633145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over70c385.95$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.231,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over45c357$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under30c340$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Over69c333.33$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.33944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under55c324$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.210942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under39c306$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.683324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under54c295$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.31650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c259.92$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.481,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over51c230$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under53c215.11$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0126041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over63c190.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.482240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Over57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over50c160$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.82171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+63.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over46c158.4$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.186360.3%38 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Under31c137.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.71414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over69c129.15$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9535157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over62c120.47$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.782748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under54c112.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4923342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over63c102.32$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.32742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over46c102.04$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0538056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over46c101.54$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.835662.5%35 W · 21 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under23c100.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.062634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Under32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-59.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed Under51c98.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c95.57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under39c95.38$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.24348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over47c85.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.214352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over48c85.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.444266.7%28 W · 14 L+10.6wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+70.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over60c83.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.73837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under53c80.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9346450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4024051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under54c79.09$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4616448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c38…291fbacked Under56c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-74%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over57c69.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6418847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over46c66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.645151%26 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over45c64.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.526354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaee…5ec9backed Over62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over46c59.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.334067.5%27 W · 13 L+9.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+99.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3b46…fd16backed Over50c57.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over66c54.55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f0…0114backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under48c51.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over63c50.97$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.633764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.57227.8%20 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.513144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over51c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.992254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3711…7339backed Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.553056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.679262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3b…380cbacked Over52c41.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d40…7b78backed Under54c36.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.718729.9%26 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Under34c35.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over60c33.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.073560%21 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76a4…6207backed Under58c32.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8031…c84cbacked Over44c23.47$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.14955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f2…3930backed Over62c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.943354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Under54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82556%14 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.51968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcca0…3738backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over66c17.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.835560%33 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.