Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x438d085f37e8649ed28e05b8111622ab2cf089896aed43107b6c687485a8f07c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed No | 41c | 650.79$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.95 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Yes | 59c | 533.9$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 42c | 452.94$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.72 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 42c | 379.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.59 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Yes | 57c | 141.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Yes | 57c | 141$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 112.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed No | 45c | 106.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 104.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 55c | 99.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0b…ed1abacked Yes | 58c | 89.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6119…346ebacked Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…1d3abacked Yes | 58c | 52.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 46.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…f863backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Lorient (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)FC Lorient won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.