La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a2db77e8bf3be3fb4cda0cb16b4b17c85322f0c259b0cd859c74ba47b59585c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccda…21f3backed Over | 58c | 1,717$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.13 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 42c | 1,005$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.1 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 733.41$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.1 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 672$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.66 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Over | 57c | 522.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 44c | 499.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.4 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…546bbacked Over | 57c | 436.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.55 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 57c | 190.91$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 70 | 72.9%51 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 41c | 148.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 90.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 615 | 57.7%355 W · 260 L | +41.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 41c | 74.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 56c | 71.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Over | 56c | 59.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.