South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x074e5094cdaa1ce1153789951d9867cfb07643b6f6ba343c73eb2f989f6a909f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 1,047$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 43c | 550$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 41c | 488$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 43c | 470.47$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 463.62$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 6c | 463.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 78c | 269.26$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 59c | 231.21$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 197.45$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7388…2887backed No | 60c | 191.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 43c | 174.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 7c | 171.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 57c | 157.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…30a6backed Yes | 45c | 111.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked No | 71c | 102.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 86.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Yes | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 41c | 63.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 55.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8af7…f5a8backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 35.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…2882backed Yes | 41c | 33.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 41c | 30.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes | 40c | 30.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cb…08debacked Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 60c | 21.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-02-26?this page
- Will AA Estudiantes vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?No won
- Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-02-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.