Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-04-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa49660c7ba11a8d004809ba8966180037202c307108f37e4c0fbeaa99342687
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 8c | 3,084$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.48 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 2,366$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.35 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 55c | 2,211$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.35 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 17c | 1,800$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.35 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed No | 50c | 615.32$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 613.09$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.77 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 46c | 602.65$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.42 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 33c | 581.7$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.74 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 42c | 500.37$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.16 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed No | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 23c | 354.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 42c | 343.83$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 35c | 334.09$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.78 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed No | 68c | 295.68$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 39c | 285.82$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Yes | 31c | 281.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +218.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 53c | 206.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.06 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b39…65adbacked No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 57c | 179.79$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 40c | 124.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed No | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 44c | 110.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked No | 44c | 108.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 34c | 107.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed No | 70c | 100.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 51c | 94.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 24c | 91.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 41c | 91.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…4982backed No | 39c | 86.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 49c | 82.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…4248backed No | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Yes | 62c | 77.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 28c | 77.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 46c | 73.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…fa48backed No | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…30a6backed Yes | 53c | 69.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 73c | 66.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +12.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 58c | 63.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…09a5backed No | 69c | 52.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 36c | 50.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…5d22backed No | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 49c | 43.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked No | 42c | 39.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ab…93c6backed No | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked No | 41c | 30.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x707c…bb74backed No | 58c | 21.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 69c | 17.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Yes | 63c | 17.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-04-24?this page
- Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Eintracht Braunschweig end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-04-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.