Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-04-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c412d33ab571a7524f4ee36ab6f5ffde4b104916e2204d05897883d35c89b53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbea2…f8f3backed Yes | 25c | 4,028$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 41c | 3,574$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 3,393$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.68 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 59c | 2,574$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 58c | 2,177$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.47 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,392$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.34 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 1,233$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.92 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 41c | 1,122$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.89 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 1,092$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.42 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 56c | 973.6$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.38 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 893.98$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.21 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked No | 58c | 861.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 795.33$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.88 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 42c | 785.71$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 22c | 758.81$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.82 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…dcd2backed Yes | 45c | 596.38$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 54c | 569.7$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.08 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 79c | 422.27$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 33c | 375.94$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.61 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 13c | 364.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 19c | 304.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 303.24$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 17c | 301.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 19c | 293.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 16c | 289.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 17c | 239.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed Yes | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Yes | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes | 18c | 225.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…57afbacked Yes | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 20c | 198.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 11c | 172.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 16c | 167$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 27c | 161.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 59c | 145$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…e06fbacked Yes | 44c | 138.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 136.47$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 123.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 42c | 118.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 12c | 118.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Yes | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 105.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 104.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 42c | 100.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…8e5fbacked Yes | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 99.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 13c | 90.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 24c | 85.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 56c | 77.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 56c | 77.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 42c | 73.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 60c | 71.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 18c | 67.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x311f…2aebbacked No | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…6acbbacked Yes | 24c | 59.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…4982backed Yes | 42c | 57.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 54c | 51.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…7720backed Yes | 32c | 50.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611c…a931backed Yes | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 24c | 45.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed No | 79c | 43.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 58c | 40.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 25c | 40.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked No | 77c | 38.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 43c | 36.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 55c | 35.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 45c | 31.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 34c | 29.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 44c | 28.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 46c | 27.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 41c | 26.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 40c | 25.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 41c | 25.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Yes | 42c | 24.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 60c | 21.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked No | 59c | 18.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed No | 59c | 17.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed No | 77c | 13.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-04-24?this page
- Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Eintracht Braunschweig end in a draw?No won
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-04-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.