South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-02-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cf6bc8ef8215e144a7375367ae3af9cfcfab10ad51b553ae755b63216e18ec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 39c | 13,856$5,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,452.4 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 61c | 10,656$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 3,390$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 2,579$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.71 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 2,262$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.81 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 2,005$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.9 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 61c | 1,921$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.81 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 1,450$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.72 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 58c | 1,233$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.74 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 41c | 731.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.83 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 43c | 705$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.83 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 57c | 614.01$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 42c | 588$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.2 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 18c | 549.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 546.77$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.32 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 39c | 455.49$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.73 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Yes | 43c | 446$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 44c | 368$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.87 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 33c | 301.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.71 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 41c | 292.95$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.68 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e74…93bcbacked Yes | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 188.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 169.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 41c | 166.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 58c | 158.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 19c | 157.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…30a6backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 67c | 139$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0d10backed Yes | 40c | 126.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 62c | 116.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 63c | 96.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 44c | 91.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 62c | 74.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 42c | 65.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 59c | 61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 43c | 49.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb5…4f0dbacked Yes | 41c | 48.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…2c06backed Yes | 42c | 44.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 42c | 43.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed No | 53c | 40.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…f0dcbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…00afbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 64c | 37.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 41c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 62c | 26.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8243…56ebbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa604…5c14backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 60c | 20.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-02-25?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-02-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.