CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff6121ab84bfa99d0403e61c47adb4723f8bb5a44d11a091301249c0f716e4a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detonateof Detonate, Wanted Goons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wanted Goons | 58c | 828.52$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.91 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Detonate | 76c | 800.11$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.11 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Wanted Goons | 16c | 571.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Wanted Goons | 20c | 444.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Wanted Goons | 14c | 438.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Wanted Goons | 25c | 317.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Detonate | 52c | 296.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.73 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Wanted Goons | 35c | 269.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Wanted Goons | 41c | 269.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Wanted Goons | 17c | 225$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wanted Goons | 17c | 189.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wanted Goons | 20c | 180.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Wanted Goons | 17c | 123.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Wanted Goons | 25c | 107.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Wanted Goons | 69c | 97.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Detonate | 19c | 96.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Wanted Goons | 38c | 92.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Wanted Goons | 59c | 83.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…93f1backed Detonate | 41c | 83.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Wanted Goons | 69c | 82.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5920…2f2abacked Wanted Goons | 61c | 71.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Wanted Goons | 33c | 71.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Wanted Goons | 71c | 67.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Detonate | 73c | 56.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Wanted Goons | 39c | 53.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Detonate | 44c | 50.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wanted Goons | 70c | 46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Wanted Goons | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Detonate | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wanted Goons | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Wanted Goons | 40c | 34.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…a2c3backed Wanted Goons | 66c | 33.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Wanted Goons | 72c | 23.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Wanted Goons | 75c | 23.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Wanted Goons | 73c | 19.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 WinnerDetonate won
- Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 WinnerDetonate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.