CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7289c764e6617f727a68c4ad4150832b1bfa5dacd933635afba8be11743f5c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxoof Fluxo, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd00…952dbacked Fluxo | 73c | 2,751$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.78 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fluxo | 74c | 1,192$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.57 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 27c | 983.23$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.47 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 21c | 832$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.41 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 27c | 413.53$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fluxo | 75c | 192.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 25c | 191.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 15c | 169.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 45c | 160.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fluxo | 79c | 136.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 27c | 122$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Fluxo | 55c | 117.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 26c | 116.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 106.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 27c | 105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 27c | 101.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Fluxo | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 25c | 85.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 26c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 18c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Fluxo | 55c | 54.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 27c | 51.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 31c | 38.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Fluxo | 67c | 38.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Fluxo | 55c | 30.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Fluxo | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fluxo | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.