Other European Leagues · resolved market
PSV vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdd97134968c2fbe1af8299861f2389fc1d6464544eab9d952bef48bbd6748d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 54c | 9,260$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.59 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 46c | 6,816$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.36 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 42c | 1,906$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.11 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 1,306$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Over | 67c | 1,000$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 998.16$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.57 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 43c | 550.44$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.88 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 390.37$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.53 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 74c | 339$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 23c | 331.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 284.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.03 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 63c | 271$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.73 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 62c | 263.16$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 37c | 216$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 68c | 204.68$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 33c | 203.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 35c | 200.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.91 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 43c | 122.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 96.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 59c | 94.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 65c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 74.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 42c | 71.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Under | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 34c | 53.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 65c | 44.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 34c | 41.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Under | 36c | 40.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 41c | 28.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Over | 64c | 25.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 52c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 67c | 19.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 72c | 18.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5this page
- PSV vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)PSV won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-2.5)PSV won
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)PSV won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.