Other European Leagues · resolved market
PSV vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d967f1f4045d028d2e34f82d20109ab9e428b11a820b73ac08d5cd6528f1337
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 27c | 2,300$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.8 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 25c | 548.42$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 71c | 483.28$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 74c | 472.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 74c | 436.28$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 71c | 400$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 76c | 264.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 75c | 200.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 71c | 176$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 73c | 166$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 27c | 159.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 137.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 75c | 133.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 25c | 124.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 76c | 91.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 71c | 77.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 24c | 76.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 70c | 75.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 74c | 58.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 24c | 57.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Yes | 73c | 51.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Yes | 75c | 25.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Yes | 75c | 25.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Yes | 74c | 20.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Yes | 75c | 15.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- PSV vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)PSV won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-2.5)PSV won
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)PSV won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.