Other European Leagues · resolved market
PSV vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c452f3c34ca9f6255fa05c5ec21328df555fa32fe8576b6941e96c44ee84a6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 30c | 839.12$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.26 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 59c | 555.64$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.13 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 56c | 320.37$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.19 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 68c | 277.5$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 44c | 244.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…ab25backed Under | 47c | 210.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 25c | 207.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 58c | 171.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 46c | 147.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 52c | 131.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Over | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 22c | 86.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 75.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…53c2backed Over | 54c | 62.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 63c | 58.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 57c | 54.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 40.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 58c | 36.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 55c | 34.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 53c | 34.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 34.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 57c | 32.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 46c | 22.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5this page
- PSV vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)PSV won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-2.5)PSV won
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)PSV won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.