Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb095f901fd5a55db916f1cc6f0456a0ce3b22752acdd51fa5c343fc20de80ca1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 39c | 4,617$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.37 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 58c | 3,800$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Over | 63c | 3,654$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.2 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 43c | 3,091$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.42 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 2,750$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.28 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…206dbacked Over | 73c | 2,012$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over | 76c | 1,040$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 34c | 908.27$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.35 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 27c | 529.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.31 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 476.57$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.53 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 13c | 421.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 29c | 371$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 14c | 368.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 15c | 356.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Over | 64c | 330$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 16c | 303.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 74c | 297.86$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 53c | 264.54$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 249.45$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 25c | 223.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over | 71c | 217.46$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 74c | 201.09$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 65c | 200.63$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 50c | 199$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x464a…d107backed Over | 74c | 194.59$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 26c | 165.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…c5afbacked Under | 21c | 147.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 15c | 137.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 42c | 136.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…687abacked Over | 63c | 134$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 67c | 128.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 74c | 105.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Under | 49c | 100.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 48c | 99.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 16c | 96.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…df94backed Over | 63c | 96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 73c | 93.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 70c | 82.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 24c | 76.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…b958backed Under | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Under | 40c | 55.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 35c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 74c | 53.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 65c | 49.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 49c | 35.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 72c | 35.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 79c | 32.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 64c | 29.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…3235backed Over | 66c | 28.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 50c | 22.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked Over | 70c | 21.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked Over | 66c | 21.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 72c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Macarthur FC (-2.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.