Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f7d4211cf4bf61e4a46aca72901fa41c03fa6d3fbcf52f84043291d8f8ae53b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 26c | 1,500$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 43c | 1,445$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 1,277$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.42 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 73c | 1,180$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.84 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 24c | 1,079$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.44 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 973.37$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.23 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 58c | 860.9$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 57c | 702.35$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Under | 7c | 570.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…1732backed Over | 37c | 370$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…a34bbacked Over | 42c | 350.9$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 41c | 349.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.49 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 42c | 297.69$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.69 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 39c | 255.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.63 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 239.63$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.34 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Over | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…6c90backed Over | 42c | 190.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…aac5backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 62c | 142$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 32c | 138.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 51c | 135.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 40c | 113.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 100.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…5a76backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…df94backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 60c | 99.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 30c | 90.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2c…e2d0backed Under | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 36c | 73.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 76c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Under | 59c | 64.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 54c | 64.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Over | 39c | 59.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 57.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 34c | 55.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 57c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 27c | 47.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 30c | 47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa2…9c82backed Under | 79c | 38.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 59c | 33.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 80c | 32.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 43c | 31.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…23f8backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…23b8backed Under | 62c | 18.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 61c | 17.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Macarthur FC (-2.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.