Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Groningen vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd003dfb27c077fa7bfc9b6e81a8cc07bc742f71a7d5b5f654647bcce112c3b0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 52c | 9,367$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.9 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 4,196$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.07 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,547$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 40c | 1,027$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.42 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 67c | 749.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 702.76$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.68 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 35c | 658.43$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.45 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Under | 44c | 621.21$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 474.28$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.57 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 437.46$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.64 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 45c | 251.14$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 55c | 248.56$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.02 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 191.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 51c | 175.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 58c | 168.28$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 62c | 152$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 38c | 152$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 49c | 123.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 49c | 123.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 49c | 123.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 49c | 123.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 49c | 123.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 49c | 123.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 49c | 123.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…9abebacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 38c | 71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 35c | 47.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Over | 50c | 34.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 37c | 34.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1d…7132backed Under | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Groningen vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Groningen vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Groningen vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Groningen vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Groningen vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.