Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Groningen vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52bc8c38da69d92553b8537f256703768ec0a502fb12d6f3b91e39a941278d26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Over | 47c | 5,700$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,328$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 31c | 2,325$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.57 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 34c | 1,291$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.52 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 1,128$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.32 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 31c | 1,000$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.69 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 41c | 890.18$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.31 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 53c | 700.54$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.63 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | +13.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 672.81$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 52c | 555$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 487.94$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.28 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 482.97$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.37 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 59c | 372.88$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 58c | 367.36$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 61c | 313.51$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.84 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 60c | 270.44$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 60c | 270.17$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 60c | 269.73$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.66 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 254.09$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 55c | 247.76$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 53c | 210.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 53c | 210.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 53c | 210.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 63c | 150.63$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 56c | 112.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 43c | 102.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 65c | 100.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 79.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…9944backed Over | 16c | 74.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 33c | 61.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Under | 17c | 60.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 62c | 51.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 68c | 50.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 73c | 49.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Under | 68c | 49.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 45.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 58c | 32.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 51c | 29.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 55c | 29.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 67c | 23.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 67c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 62c | 22.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Under | 52c | 21.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Groningen vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Groningen vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Groningen vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Groningen vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Groningen vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.