South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbb6059ad11d46c458038c8e987cee14196c3e50f748bdf678f6d6890c49bc01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 67c | 2,850$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.48 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…ce7fbacked Yes | 23c | 2,019$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.34 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 67c | 1,958$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.74 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 16c | 1,592$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.68 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 1,586$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.6 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 1,310$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.55 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 2c | 1,242$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 1,213$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 24c | 379$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 33c | 293$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 34c | 243$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Yes | 23c | 219.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 207.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 14c | 185.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…0eaabacked Yes | 34c | 176.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 30c | 168.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 35c | 142.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 33c | 142$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Yes | 33c | 121.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 89.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 20c | 88.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7095…8319backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 31c | 71.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 33c | 68.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 76c | 67.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 33c | 66.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 29c | 53.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 34c | 53.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 77c | 48.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 32c | 47.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 32c | 47.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 45.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7c…8ab4backed Yes | 34c | 39.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Yes | 32c | 37.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 37.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 29c | 36.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 33c | 36.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 78c | 36.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…9abebacked No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 66c | 23.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…975abacked No | 78c | 16.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.