South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f934357de3a204d3110b8dbe8c928a8e17b36383834e79b53f5f4f12c929af5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 6,365$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.71 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 37c | 2,930$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.53 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 2c | 1,348$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +438.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 26c | 1,067$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.1 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 28c | 1,000$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 49c | 810.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…f358backed Yes | 78c | 757.28$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e9d6backed Yes | 70c | 716.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 687.23$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.72 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce9…ced7backed No | 27c | 600$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 441.77$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.37 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 74c | 373.66$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 74c | 372.94$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 54c | 360.18$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.63 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked No | 24c | 348.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 72c | 308.01$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 72c | 280.95$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 74c | 236$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.64 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 25c | 236$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 73c | 211.61$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 70c | 206.47$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 70c | 206.47$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 13c | 195.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…d26ebacked Yes | 28c | 180$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 72c | 178.75$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 80c | 174.11$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 70c | 156.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 16c | 148.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 80c | 147.82$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 80c | 147.22$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 19c | 140.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Yes | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 72c | 122.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 115.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Yes | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 82.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Yes | 56c | 82.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 77c | 81.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 40c | 54.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4049…d92abacked Yes | 65c | 46.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd945…fbd1backed Yes | 66c | 43.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed No | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes | 36c | 36.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 35.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes | 76c | 32.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Yes | 76c | 32.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes | 76c | 32.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes | 76c | 32.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Yes | 76c | 32.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 52c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…e7cbbacked Yes | 67c | 26.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 75c | 25.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Yes | 54c | 24.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 76c | 20.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 76c | 17.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Yes | 78c | 15.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.