TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,637 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes20c34,372$6,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,972.441,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes36c21,157$7,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,592.0719239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c15,272$10,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,603.032,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes9c12,184$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.441258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c9,976$6,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,665.241,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes35c4,228$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c3,876$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.123,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No65c3,000$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0603171%22 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.998321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No66c1,860$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.4565058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No68c1,648$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.547756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No71c1,401$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.9316759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No71c1,358$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.811,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes37c1,294$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.499054.4%49 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No73c1,242$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.0528158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No65c1,200$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9920846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No67c1,139$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.7236757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No67c1,126$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.0911856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No67c1,126$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.0941256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No79c886.32$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5926160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No78c855.1$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2619056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes35c844$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.418742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No65c775.87$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.551,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No65c768.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1551749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No67c735.23$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4715956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No67c724.15$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.9257157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes35c705.32$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.865168.6%35 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No65c690.41$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.791,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes22c690.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4736339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No63c680.42$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.371,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe059…7135backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No66c563.71$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.4922853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No66c526.76$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1516653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No69c524.74$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7319356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Yes37c521.64$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17021349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Yes17c482.55$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.074951%25 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No68c469.37$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2533745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes28c420.37$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2984943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No68c398.87$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7816160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes38c348$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.046043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f06…3ee7backed Yes3c340.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked No68c337.66$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.117867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed No69c331.13$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.134465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes29c305$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9216740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No66c304.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8247758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes32c299.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.346823.5%16 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No67c299.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6718154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No67c296.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8163657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc87e…271cbacked No66c291$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes35c275$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.252213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-72.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63d8…ceb0backed Yes35c265.71$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9340%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No65c262.1$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.581,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No66c261$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.461,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No78c260.6$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3818859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No62c254.32$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.642,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No71c235.21$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.241,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb271…34d4backed Yes33c228.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No64c215$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.462,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes28c209.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4311230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No65c190.66$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.481,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes24c186.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.885220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes51c178.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4231349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes36c166.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.991838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No68c161.23$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2519955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked No69c145.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.754866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes27c142.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7882434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No69c140.43$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0734155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes26c139.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5237540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No66c135.49$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0723057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes31c133$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.238554.1%46 W · 39 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No69c133$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.237247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Yes30c124.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4614254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Yes32c124.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.961861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No70c116.87$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.428265.9%54 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Yes32c110$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.282548%12 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes57c100.24$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.767951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3851654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes29c98.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3694848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…9abebacked No67c95.63$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No62c84$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.925060%30 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2331…7647backed Yes35c83.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No66c76.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3244959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7638861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No69c73.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6981740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No70c71.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2615457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed No75c68.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.557162%44 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked No75c67.66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.912576%19 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+44.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked No66c64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.764461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No80c62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.420065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No65c60.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.017950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111059.1%65 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes30c59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.781,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf39…dc63backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb6…c637backed No78c54.08$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.691573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes33c52.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.484027.5%11 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.