South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce18c64e66eb0e1fcfa2e72821520bb58b48e7cf314255346fbf07b521222e9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 11,071$8,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.63 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 6,714$5,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.39 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 22c | 6,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 22c | 6,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 4,704$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.44 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 1,162$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.38 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 709.73$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 74c | 509.72$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 77c | 446.49$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 8c | 326.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 22c | 290$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 197.69$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 179.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 161.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 25c | 160.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 114.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 24c | 81.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 72.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 78c | 71.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 78c | 58.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 78c | 57.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 57.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 73c | 48.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 80c | 48.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 80c | 43.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 80c | 43.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 77c | 32.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 72c | 28.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 72c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 76c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 75c | 17.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 73c | 17.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 79c | 17.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 15.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.