Lol · resolved market
Will Karmine Corp Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfc5008c92e9e870901797b3d50d0cd27d70a78e3512827e7bf6ce4b9afeea9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 46c | 408.13$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.38 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 16c | 299.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 54c | 236$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 51c | 170$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.94 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 48c | 132.21$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes | 46c | 130.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked No | 47c | 122.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed Yes | 53c | 114.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4684…e4e1backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Karmine Corp Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?this page
- Will AG.AL Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Bilibili Gaming Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Dplus Kia Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?Yes won
- Will FURIA Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?No won
- Will G2 Esports Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?No won
- Will GAM Esports Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?No won
- Will JD Gaming Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?Yes won
- Will LYON Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?No won
- Will Movistar KOI Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?No won
- Will Sentinels Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?No won
- Will T1 Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Team Secret Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.