Lol · resolved market
Will G2 Esports win the EWC League of Legends Tournament
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33de3faeab349a0c6dd6e65b9dc5fc3f75b28c10b3586fc77df57bab20d2765e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3769…b797backed Yes | 2c | 1,237$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Yes | 3c | 1,236$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,162$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | +572.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…72c2backed Yes | 3c | 1,087$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +205.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…e8f6backed Yes | 2c | 1,035$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 3c | 828.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…5d9cbacked Yes | 5c | 399.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…4f28backed Yes | 5c | 384.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 246 | 55.3%136 W · 110 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Yes | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed No | 65c | 159$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 35c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will G2 Esports win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentthis page
- Will AG.AL win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo won
- Will Bilibili Gaming win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo won
- Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends TournamentYes won
- Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo won
- Will Hanwha Life Esports win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo won
- Will JD Gaming win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo won
- Will Karmine Corp win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo won
- Will LYON win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo won
- Will T1 win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.