Tennis · resolved market
ITF Laval: Kenta Miyoshi vs Timo Legout
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe614e6da2d83b5210a8ec03e7f9f6e4b270cdbb5310e36ab346c7f5d025bde22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kenta Miyoshiof Kenta Miyoshi, Timo Legout
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timo Legout | 45c | 11,226$5,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.18 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…2289backed Kenta Miyoshi | 80c | 2,638$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.65 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 38c | 2,211$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.87 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Kenta Miyoshi | 27c | 826.92$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.29 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Kenta Miyoshi | 25c | 784.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.53 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Kenta Miyoshi | 41c | 616.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.6 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Timo Legout | 59c | 563.97$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.74 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 36c | 410.08$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.45 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kenta Miyoshi | 41c | 409.76$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.76 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Kenta Miyoshi | 44c | 225.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.43 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 38c | 202.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.78 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Kenta Miyoshi | 67c | 192.36$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kenta Miyoshi | 41c | 191.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.26 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Kenta Miyoshi | 41c | 175.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Kenta Miyoshi | 40c | 127.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Kenta Miyoshi | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Kenta Miyoshi | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Kenta Miyoshi | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 43c | 115.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Kenta Miyoshi | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 41c | 110$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Kenta Miyoshi | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…cdb0backed Kenta Miyoshi | 41c | 105.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Timo Legout | 75c | 90.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Timo Legout | 47c | 87.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Kenta Miyoshi | 42c | 76.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Kenta Miyoshi | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Kenta Miyoshi | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Timo Legout | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Kenta Miyoshi | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Timo Legout | 55c | 54.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Kenta Miyoshi | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Timo Legout | 59c | 51.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Timo Legout | 24c | 50.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…380bbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 42c | 48.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Timo Legout | 40c | 33.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Timo Legout | 45c | 32.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Kenta Miyoshi | 47c | 27.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 47c | 27.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…142ebacked Kenta Miyoshi | 57c | 26.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +8.9wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Timo Legout | 58c | 24.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Timo Legout | 65c | 22.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Kenta Miyoshi | 57c | 21.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.