TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Weibo Gamingof JD Gaming, Weibo Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,081 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked JD Gaming41c3,512$1,440 inLost-$1,440.4759248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Weibo Gaming59c3,000$1,770 inWon+$1,23044550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed JD Gaming44c2,426$1,067 inLost-$1,067.0546257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Weibo Gaming57c2,000$1,140 inWon+$859.9811938.7%46 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Weibo Gaming59c1,968$1,161 inWon+$806.7643539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Weibo Gaming56c1,873$1,049 inWon+$823.991,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Weibo Gaming58c1,541$900 inWon+$641.091947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Weibo Gaming61c800$487 inWon+$312.5585746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3601…cd3fbacked JD Gaming45c799.99$360 inLost-$36012451.6%64 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked JD Gaming41c797.41$327 inLost-$326.9435353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked JD Gaming42c524.29$220 inLost-$220.222250.5%112 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed JD Gaming31c523.97$164 inLost-$163.5252045%234 W · 286 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Weibo Gaming56c519.56$291 inWon+$22941343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Weibo Gaming58c499.98$290 inWon+$209.9911547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed JD Gaming41c485.11$199 inLost-$198.92,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed JD Gaming40c481.75$194 inLost-$193.960849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Weibo Gaming67c424.37$286 inWon+$138.3348852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed JD Gaming40c319$128 inLost-$127.65543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed JD Gaming38c274.78$104 inLost-$103.671,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x179d…26abbacked JD Gaming40c250$100 inLost-$10053829.9%161 W · 377 L-19.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed JD Gaming43c210.73$91 inLost-$90.6149847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked Weibo Gaming62c206.82$128 inWon+$78.9947434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27c7…ba3ebacked JD Gaming45c200$90 inLost-$9033069.7%230 W · 100 L+28.7wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Weibo Gaming65c199.98$130 inWon+$69.9924835.1%87 W · 161 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Weibo Gaming60c166.67$100 inWon+$66.671,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed JD Gaming42c150.49$62 inLost-$62.574637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbbb…5693backed JD Gaming42c150$63 inLost-$634337.2%16 W · 27 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked JD Gaming41c100$41 inLost-$4113551.9%70 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Weibo Gaming59c100$59 inWon+$4142751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Weibo Gaming60c100$60 inWon+$401450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Weibo Gaming65c91.9$60 inWon+$32.2432755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Weibo Gaming61c90.18$55 inWon+$35.172161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Weibo Gaming59c84.75$50 inWon+$34.753246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Weibo Gaming61c81.97$50 inWon+$31.974746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Weibo Gaming61c81.97$50 inWon+$31.974757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Weibo Gaming61c80.94$49 inWon+$31.573540%14 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc508…6b56backed JD Gaming41c72.32$29 inLost-$29.455242.3%22 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed JD Gaming42c71.5$30 inLost-$30.039844.9%44 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4238…3734backed JD Gaming42c71.43$30 inLost-$306643.9%29 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57af…81cebacked Weibo Gaming60c50$30 inWon+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Weibo Gaming57c50$29 inWon+$21.559647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…927fbacked JD Gaming42c33.33$14 inLost-$145429.6%16 W · 38 L-10.8wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xeed2…ad97backed Weibo Gaming60c33.33$20 inWon+$13.334242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7884…1fb0backed Weibo Gaming61c32.79$20 inWon+$12.792065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c09…b6ffbacked JD Gaming44c31.76$14 inLost-$14933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed JD Gaming42c31.14$13 inLost-$12.941,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Weibo Gaming60c25$15 inWon+$1014960.4%90 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Weibo Gaming59c24.8$15 inWon+$10.251,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f8…e0f3backed Weibo Gaming60c20$12 inWon+$8683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+45.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Weibo Gaming60c18.34$11 inWon+$7.3414650.7%74 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Weibo Gaming64c18$12 inWon+$6.4846452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed JD Gaming68c16.97$12 inLost-$11.542,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.