CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd199892f377fc79b010f156635bcd4383ad20c2e7a6e855f5471cd61a5831fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof fnatic, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed fnatic | 72c | 2,569$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.47 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 28c | 1,314$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.02 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 999.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.99 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 971.12$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.12 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed fnatic | 70c | 899.88$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.04 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 27c | 618.45$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.85 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked fnatic | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 27c | 561.85$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.15 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked fnatic | 22c | 550.92$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked fnatic | 61c | 473$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.45 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 31c | 400.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.12 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…8136backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 69c | 349.74$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic | 38c | 336.81$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 280.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.65 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed fnatic | 52c | 273.95$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0c…c8adbacked fnatic | 29c | 227.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 221$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.28 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed fnatic | 29c | 218$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked fnatic | 59c | 204.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 182.01$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed fnatic | 68c | 169.13$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed fnatic | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed fnatic | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked fnatic | 22c | 144$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 29c | 131.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.51 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked fnatic | 24c | 131$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 44c | 107.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed fnatic | 63c | 102.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 102$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked fnatic | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…f92ebacked fnatic | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed fnatic | 21c | 95.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed fnatic | 58c | 92.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked fnatic | 70c | 92.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed fnatic | 18c | 77.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed fnatic | 68c | 64.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked fnatic | 62c | 45.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 58c | 44.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed fnatic | 22c | 44.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 27c | 43.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 32.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed fnatic | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed fnatic | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked fnatic | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagefnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+1.5)ex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.