CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7ea929e13d0c262796249e062346b49e406f8c10e929d8583bb5fd10eec02ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b39…3234backed fnatic | 54c | 1,009$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.28 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 47c | 865$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.55 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 63c | 735.65$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.59 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…f6febacked fnatic | 68c | 294.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 274.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked fnatic | 52c | 260.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.07 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked fnatic | 55c | 164.38$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 68c | 130$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 504 | 58.5%295 W · 209 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 33c | 113.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked fnatic | 39c | 106.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed fnatic | 57c | 99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked fnatic | 79c | 89.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 153 | 68.6%105 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed fnatic | 67c | 89.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked fnatic | 42c | 86.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…5659backed fnatic | 60c | 82.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…4d56backed fnatic | 69c | 81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked fnatic | 29c | 75.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic | 59c | 74.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…4b9dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 27c | 72.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 69.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked fnatic | 41c | 60.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed fnatic | 41c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 49.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 47.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 46c | 43.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked fnatic | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked fnatic | 63c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eab…63d7backed fnatic | 69c | 35.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed fnatic | 77c | 33.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 25.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagefnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+1.5)ex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.