Lol · resolved market
LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf991fe85455d61f9f798292930e1e024d3e6c32eb2b29b7c3aa2c8cee3287c8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SU Esportsof SU Esports, PCIFIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6204…0b06backed PCIFIC | 14c | 5,287$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.02 | 324 | 40.4%131 W · 193 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked SU Esports | 69c | 3,500$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.89 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked PCIFIC | 44c | 2,135$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.09 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed PCIFIC | 37c | 1,276$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.7 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…4a75backed SU Esports | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed SU Esports | 58c | 1,000$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.01 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked PCIFIC | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PCIFIC | 42c | 908.22$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.66 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed PCIFIC | 33c | 804.34$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.43 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked SU Esports | 72c | 786.56$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.38 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked SU Esports | 67c | 738.81$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.81 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed PCIFIC | 39c | 717.9$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.69 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed PCIFIC | 29c | 689.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PCIFIC | 26c | 567.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed SU Esports | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed PCIFIC | 31c | 481.23$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.18 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed PCIFIC | 36c | 434.02$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.25 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked SU Esports | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 500 | 55.4%277 W · 223 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed SU Esports | 54c | 394$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed PCIFIC | 42c | 376.94$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.94 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PCIFIC | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed PCIFIC | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked SU Esports | 76c | 263.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…c59fbacked SU Esports | 70c | 255.17$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed PCIFIC | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…a974backed SU Esports | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PCIFIC | 31c | 247.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked SU Esports | 68c | 230$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed SU Esports | 73c | 229.71$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…d794backed SU Esports | 56c | 223.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed SU Esports | 70c | 215.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed PCIFIC | 25c | 204.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PCIFIC | 28c | 203.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 1,917 | 42.3%810 W · 1,107 L | -44.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed SU Esports | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed PCIFIC | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed PCIFIC | 38c | 187.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked SU Esports | 76c | 154.07$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 386 | 55.2%213 W · 173 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…231dbacked SU Esports | 68c | 142.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked SU Esports | 70c | 142.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed SU Esports | 56c | 140.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked SU Esports | 78c | 128.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed SU Esports | 72c | 123.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked SU Esports | 78c | 118.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed PCIFIC | 20c | 100.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…0bd2backed PCIFIC | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed SU Esports | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 620 | 50.6%314 W · 306 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked SU Esports | 56c | 88.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked PCIFIC | 29c | 69.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked PCIFIC | 32c | 63.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1,660 | 59.5%987 W · 673 L | +97.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked SU Esports | 76c | 58.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed PCIFIC | 46c | 53.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…75e4backed SU Esports | 59c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed SU Esports | 61c | 52.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed PCIFIC | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 31.3%57 W · 125 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf2…3b95backed SU Esports | 67c | 45.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 219 | 56.6%124 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed PCIFIC | 24c | 44.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed SU Esports | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked SU Esports | 65c | 38.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…e8c7backed SU Esports | 79c | 37.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed SU Esports | 68c | 33.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 1,251 | 54.1%677 W · 574 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebcc…3386backed PCIFIC | 41c | 32.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked SU Esports | 62c | 32.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 949 | 48.5%460 W · 489 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed PCIFIC | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked SU Esports | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 404 | 41.8%169 W · 235 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed SU Esports | 65c | 27.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed SU Esports | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed SU Esports | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 440 | 62.7%276 W · 164 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…6ca8backed SU Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217a…5dfabacked SU Esports | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 470 | 57.7%271 W · 199 L | -27.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85ca…16cebacked SU Esports | 73c | 13.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)PCIFIC won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsPCIFIC won
- LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 WinnerPCIFIC won
- LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 3 WinnerPCIFIC won
- LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 4 WinnerPCIFIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.