Lol · resolved market
LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8166785546fb2646bd912b2d84e1b8e049d0cdf71964403b3ba58d51bab96c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PCIFIC of SU Esports, PCIFIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked SU Esports | 54c | 1,735$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.42 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PCIFIC | 45c | 1,300$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.77 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked SU Esports | 55c | 1,177$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.91 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PCIFIC | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked PCIFIC | 45c | 521.11$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.11 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed PCIFIC | 46c | 499.97$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed SU Esports | 3c | 449.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed PCIFIC | 44c | 338.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.83 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked SU Esports | 54c | 333.28$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.02 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed SU Esports | 54c | 327.78$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked PCIFIC | 63c | 299$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 553 | 47%260 W · 293 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PCIFIC | 46c | 295.37$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed SU Esports | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 332 | 37.7%125 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed SU Esports | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…231dbacked SU Esports | 69c | 180.48$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.91 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed SU Esports | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked SU Esports | 53c | 145.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked PCIFIC | 47c | 125.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 386 | 55.2%213 W · 173 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked PCIFIC | 78c | 102.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked SU Esports | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 366 | 60.1%220 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SU Esports | 44c | 95.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed PCIFIC | 51c | 80.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed PCIFIC | 47c | 79.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 664 | 58%385 W · 279 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked SU Esports | 26c | 69.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked SU Esports | 62c | 62.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PCIFIC | 67c | 58.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SU Esports | 37c | 48.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked PCIFIC | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…99d1backed PCIFIC | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c5…6483backed SU Esports | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 269 | 58%156 W · 113 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed SU Esports | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce6…ba8bbacked PCIFIC | 46c | 38.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b0…8b4ebacked SU Esports | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed SU Esports | 64c | 29.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 327 | 35.2%115 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed PCIFIC | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked SU Esports | 48c | 28.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb658…f1f8backed SU Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)PCIFIC won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsPCIFIC won
- LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 WinnerSU Esports won
- LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 WinnerPCIFIC won
- LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 4 WinnerPCIFIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.