Lol · resolved market
LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02a2b716cf0d2975a3513695348c153bcc278bf19f5814377b007b6284d95537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PCIFIC of SU Esports, PCIFIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x493a…0bd2backed SU Esports | 50c | 1,000$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.54 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…ceb9backed PCIFIC | 44c | 854.89$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.17 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed PCIFIC | 55c | 799.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked SU Esports | 45c | 557.08$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked PCIFIC | 47c | 529.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.53 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked SU Esports | 51c | 433.38$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.02 | 502 | 42.2%212 W · 290 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked SU Esports | 55c | 276.2$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed PCIFIC | 73c | 274.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed PCIFIC | 53c | 243.27$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked SU Esports | 52c | 226.34$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed SU Esports | 66c | 226.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed SU Esports | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked PCIFIC | 55c | 213.34$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked PCIFIC | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…150ebacked PCIFIC | 59c | 170.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed PCIFIC | 31c | 166.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 239 | 43.1%103 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked SU Esports | 72c | 149.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed PCIFIC | 26c | 147.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked PCIFIC | 49c | 144.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PCIFIC | 48c | 130.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed SU Esports | 52c | 129.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SU Esports | 49c | 118.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed SU Esports | 44c | 113.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 332 | 37.7%125 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked SU Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked SU Esports | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed SU Esports | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed SU Esports | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 689 | 42.5%293 W · 396 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked SU Esports | 26c | 69.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed PCIFIC | 52c | 69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed SU Esports | 48c | 69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked PCIFIC | 46c | 57.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed SU Esports | 25c | 52.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed SU Esports | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked PCIFIC | 33c | 43.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed SU Esports | 44c | 42.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…b4a2backed PCIFIC | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed PCIFIC | 50c | 37.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed SU Esports | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 334 | 53.9%180 W · 154 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed PCIFIC | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed SU Esports | 62c | 28.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 799 | 73.3%586 W · 213 L | +45.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed SU Esports | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked SU Esports | 61c | 26.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed PCIFIC | 39c | 26.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked SU Esports | 53c | 21.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked SU Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb658…f1f8backed PCIFIC | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)PCIFIC won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsPCIFIC won
- LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 WinnerSU Esports won
- LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 WinnerPCIFIC won
- LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 3 WinnerPCIFIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.