CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 5star - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7438e99adb6c837bcb71ddbf2d16df1c11f6df5a4943dbaed6aa53b79ee5a38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof TYLOO, 5star
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked TYLOO | 20c | 3,712$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.86 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked TYLOO | 23c | 3,022$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.22 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed TYLOO | 18c | 1,350$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.78 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed TYLOO | 19c | 1,266$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.24 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked TYLOO | 17c | 1,234$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.85 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 5star | 72c | 1,020$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.59 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TYLOO | 23c | 780$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.79 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked TYLOO | 17c | 727.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.19 | 215 | 19.1%41 W · 174 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TYLOO | 22c | 500$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.56 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TYLOO | 26c | 480.83$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.46 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed 5star | 62c | 389.73$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.63 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…6044backed 5star | 78c | 385$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed TYLOO | 13c | 362.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.06 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…5faabacked TYLOO | 40c | 238.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.75 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked TYLOO | 45c | 236.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.31 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TYLOO | 9c | 204.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 5star | 79c | 182.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 5star | 74c | 176.41$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.32 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed 5star | 73c | 155.08$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed 5star | 73c | 150.52$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed 5star | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…e3d7backed TYLOO | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked 5star | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed 5star | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed 5star | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked 5star | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…0f39backed TYLOO | 24c | 95.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed TYLOO | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked 5star | 61c | 67.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TYLOO | 26c | 63.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed 5star | 28c | 61.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed 5star | 53c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed 5star | 80c | 40.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 5star - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 5star (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group ATYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 5star - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
- Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs 5star (+1.5)TYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.