CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vexa - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfffa8d30c7a2a672f47ee84208dc3c077bc2b8c9952b370abda56b9fc72c5fb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vexaof METANOIA WOLVES, Vexa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Vexa | 71c | 2,925$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.25 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked METANOIA WOLVES | 29c | 1,339$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 45c | 813.76$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.79 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 776.93$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.51 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 691.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 662$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vexa | 54c | 547.61$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.3 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Vexa | 58c | 339.95$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.78 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Vexa | 74c | 300$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…6c52backed Vexa | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 27c | 247.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Vexa | 76c | 205$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vexa | 79c | 186.89$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Vexa | 66c | 176.59$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Vexa | 70c | 138$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Vexa | 59c | 108.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Vexa | 57c | 54.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…6464backed METANOIA WOLVES | 44c | 51.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 50.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 50.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 50.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 50.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed METANOIA WOLVES | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Vexa | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vexa - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group StageVexa won
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vexa - Map 1 WinnerVexa won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.