CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vexa - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadcfa0effd5d60940bdbcd2e31d944ae97ef500fe978e154a5becc56deb7a449
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vexaof METANOIA WOLVES, Vexa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed METANOIA WOLVES | 56c | 2,272$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.64 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked METANOIA WOLVES | 6c | 1,006$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Vexa | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vexa | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 6c | 783.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Vexa | 74c | 531.12$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.97 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed METANOIA WOLVES | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed METANOIA WOLVES | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Vexa | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 164.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 136.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 24c | 106.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Vexa | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vexa - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group StageVexa won
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vexa - Map 2 WinnerVexa won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.