CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55b8fb7c249f9452156dd14a9dcc959c2b252daaeff46c29881d0877b83a1a81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vexaof METANOIA WOLVES, Vexa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vexa | 64c | 2,586$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.64 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed METANOIA WOLVES | 40c | 2,089$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.37 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed METANOIA WOLVES | 37c | 1,603$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.24 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…4b9dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 8c | 783.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Vexa | 47c | 399.89$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.94 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vexa | 66c | 373.12$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.19 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vexa | 56c | 358.06$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.28 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Vexa | 78c | 308$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 51c | 302.41$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 174 | 31%54 W · 120 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 35c | 286.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Vexa | 79c | 246$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9558…9579backed Vexa | 72c | 222.16$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Vexa | 48c | 220.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 37c | 199.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 189$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Vexa | 59c | 162.17$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed METANOIA WOLVES | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vexa | 58c | 146.6$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 37c | 145.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vexa | 75c | 145.84$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Vexa | 49c | 127.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 38c | 106.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Vexa | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed METANOIA WOLVES | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Vexa | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed METANOIA WOLVES | 14c | 76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 16c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vexa | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Vexa | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Vexa | 48c | 62.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Vexa | 61c | 60.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Vexa | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Vexa | 67c | 58.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 53c | 37.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed METANOIA WOLVES | 52c | 33.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Vexa | 48c | 32.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed METANOIA WOLVES | 38c | 31.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…70efbacked Vexa | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Vexa | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 52c | 29.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Vexa | 48c | 29.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed METANOIA WOLVES | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f68…2cf6backed Vexa | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Vexa | 78c | 24.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2f…a285backed Vexa | 65c | 22.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vexa - Map 1 WinnerVexa won
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vexa - Map 2 WinnerVexa won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.