Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a4916eb0a7b25ae3537bfb8f6092d5ed8c89334f4fc11a235cbda8a7f91fb99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dragon Ranger Gamingof Dragon Ranger Gaming, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 65c | 33,341$21,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,708.43 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed JD Gaming | 37c | 22,002$8,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,140.74 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed JD Gaming | 38c | 11,251$4,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,273.28 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed JD Gaming | 17c | 2,262$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.65 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 70c | 1,885$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.98 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed JD Gaming | 36c | 1,398$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 63c | 1,199$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.75 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed JD Gaming | 13c | 938.2$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 77c | 861.36$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.24 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed JD Gaming | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 64c | 304.22$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 66c | 303.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed JD Gaming | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed JD Gaming | 39c | 253.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed JD Gaming | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked JD Gaming | 33c | 208.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed JD Gaming | 22c | 205.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked JD Gaming | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 73c | 188.23$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked JD Gaming | 23c | 187.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked JD Gaming | 19c | 176.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed JD Gaming | 17c | 171.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed JD Gaming | 20c | 139.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 56c | 96.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked JD Gaming | 35c | 88.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked JD Gaming | 21c | 72.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed JD Gaming | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed JD Gaming | 37c | 62.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 65c | 58.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked JD Gaming | 36c | 54.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked JD Gaming | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed JD Gaming | 39c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 65c | 29.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…8ff4backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…a0c8backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: DRG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)Dragon Ranger Gaming won
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China PlayoffsDragon Ranger Gaming won
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 1 WinnerDragon Ranger Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.