Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Darja Semenistaja
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc7c87eb0ca68ad9fa1c411e8cd59a89f27ec701e65981a596a3f0192eea23d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Antonia Ruzicof Antonia Ruzic, Darja Semenistaja
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Antonia Ruzic | 79c | 5,971$4,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.04 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…4a16backed Antonia Ruzic | 75c | 2,313$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.18 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Darja Semenistaja | 20c | 2,244$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.79 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Darja Semenistaja | 37c | 2,215$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.7 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Darja Semenistaja | 13c | 2,126$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 160 | 59.4%95 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Darja Semenistaja | 20c | 1,751$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.24 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Darja Semenistaja | 9c | 1,641$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.92 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Darja Semenistaja | 10c | 1,511$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.85 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Antonia Ruzic | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.51 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Darja Semenistaja | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…229ebacked Darja Semenistaja | 7c | 1,286$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Darja Semenistaja | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Darja Semenistaja | 39c | 901.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…5cdebacked Darja Semenistaja | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Darja Semenistaja | 7c | 562.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Darja Semenistaja | 36c | 549.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.54 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Darja Semenistaja | 28c | 535$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Darja Semenistaja | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Antonia Ruzic | 64c | 322.16$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Antonia Ruzic | 74c | 309.89$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Darja Semenistaja | 17c | 280$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Darja Semenistaja | 18c | 260.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Darja Semenistaja | 33c | 244.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Darja Semenistaja | 7c | 225$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Darja Semenistaja | 24c | 207$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Antonia Ruzic | 66c | 204.01$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Darja Semenistaja | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Darja Semenistaja | 32c | 193.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Darja Semenistaja | 28c | 190.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Antonia Ruzic | 58c | 172.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Antonia Ruzic | 70c | 164.09$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Darja Semenistaja | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Darja Semenistaja | 33c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Darja Semenistaja | 32c | 142.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Antonia Ruzic | 79c | 137$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Darja Semenistaja | 35c | 126.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Darja Semenistaja | 31c | 126$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Darja Semenistaja | 35c | 122$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Antonia Ruzic | 57c | 114.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Darja Semenistaja | 32c | 111$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Antonia Ruzic | 68c | 104.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Antonia Ruzic | 57c | 103.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Darja Semenistaja | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Antonia Ruzic | 72c | 94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Antonia Ruzic | 78c | 77.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Darja Semenistaja | 18c | 67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Darja Semenistaja | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…7d20backed Darja Semenistaja | 21c | 64.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Darja Semenistaja | 25c | 61.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Darja Semenistaja | 34c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Antonia Ruzic | 67c | 57.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Darja Semenistaja | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Antonia Ruzic | 76c | 51.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Darja Semenistaja | 31c | 46.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Antonia Ruzic | 57c | 41.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 347 | 29.4%102 W · 245 L | -35.6wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Darja Semenistaja | 31c | 39.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Darja Semenistaja | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Antonia Ruzic | 66c | 37.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Darja Semenistaja | 32c | 33.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Antonia Ruzic | 60c | 31.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4903…0914backed Antonia Ruzic | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Antonia Ruzic | 79c | 26.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Antonia Ruzic | 62c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Antonia Ruzic | 63c | 24.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Antonia Ruzic | 80c | 21.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Antonia Ruzic | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Antonia Ruzic | 76c | 16.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.