Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katie Volynets vs Laura Samson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a86c0100527b85c3b9f2242b9407b2697464d9a495b72c66e62848d656d7621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katie Volynetsof Katie Volynets, Laura Samson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Katie Volynets | 62c | 15,727$9,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,981.85 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Laura Samson | 42c | 13,785$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Laura Samson | 30c | 4,473$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.98 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Katie Volynets | 67c | 1,714$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.66 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Katie Volynets | 76c | 977.11$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.43 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Katie Volynets | 60c | 974.66$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.92 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Laura Samson | 26c | 847.7$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Laura Samson | 12c | 534.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Katie Volynets | 76c | 517.08$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.22 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Katie Volynets | 80c | 516.12$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Katie Volynets | 73c | 512.32$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…5efcbacked Laura Samson | 4c | 488.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Laura Samson | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Laura Samson | 24c | 439.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Laura Samson | 36c | 393.73$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.73 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Laura Samson | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Laura Samson | 27c | 369.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Katie Volynets | 76c | 322.6$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Katie Volynets | 73c | 305$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Laura Samson | 30c | 277.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Katie Volynets | 63c | 235.04$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Laura Samson | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Laura Samson | 12c | 196.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Laura Samson | 19c | 184.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Katie Volynets | 68c | 176.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Laura Samson | 48c | 173.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Laura Samson | 27c | 173.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Laura Samson | 42c | 166.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Laura Samson | 25c | 164$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Laura Samson | 24c | 159.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Laura Samson | 13c | 158$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…d573backed Katie Volynets | 74c | 152.03$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Laura Samson | 25c | 145.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Laura Samson | 8c | 136.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Katie Volynets | 58c | 129.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Laura Samson | 23c | 108$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Laura Samson | 13c | 102.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Laura Samson | 42c | 102$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -16.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Laura Samson | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Katie Volynets | 72c | 99.74$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Katie Volynets | 71c | 97.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Laura Samson | 25c | 94.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Katie Volynets | 68c | 90.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Katie Volynets | 69c | 90.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Katie Volynets | 73c | 82.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Laura Samson | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Laura Samson | 41c | 75.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Laura Samson | 39c | 75.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Laura Samson | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Katie Volynets | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Katie Volynets | 73c | 57.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Laura Samson | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Laura Samson | 28c | 52.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Laura Samson | 27c | 46.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Laura Samson | 33c | 45.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Laura Samson | 43c | 44.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Laura Samson | 32c | 40.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Laura Samson | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Katie Volynets | 64c | 39.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Katie Volynets | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Katie Volynets | 77c | 33.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Katie Volynets | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 278 | 71.6%199 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Katie Volynets | 67c | 26.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Laura Samson | 49c | 24.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Katie Volynets | 78c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Katie Volynets | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Katie Volynets | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Katie Volynets | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Katie Volynets | 68c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Katie Volynets | 73c | 16.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Katie Volynets | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.