Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x900b802a79a5f0c3d9ccdd9948871d2e0ba3c41214566e8c961972b0642ebce8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 54c | 40,000$21,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,250 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 46c | 36,471$16,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,658.15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 8,417$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,681.04 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 45c | 7,932$3,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.39 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 50c | 6,500$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…d74cbacked Yes | 57c | 4,999$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yes | 50c | 3,974$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 43c | 2,222$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.46 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 45c | 2,009$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.77 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 54c | 1,836$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,155$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.5 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 56c | 1,065$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 20c | 999.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 46c | 677.99$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.13 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 43c | 638.04$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.62 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 57c | 586.9$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.37 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Yes | 55c | 460$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 52c | 429.18$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.72 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 47c | 400$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 41c | 387.9$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 20c | 311.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…a7b3backed Yes | 57c | 285.3$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 17c | 250.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 52c | 225$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 140.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 34c | 117.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 46c | 104$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed No | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 58c | 91.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 41c | 84.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 58c | 83.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 55c | 72.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Yes | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked No | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…7f33backed Yes | 58c | 48.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 45c | 42.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…d079backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7a…8357backed Yes | 55c | 36.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…6aeabacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 59c | 29.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…0c17backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 45c | 27.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 47c | 26.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc78…2e71backed Yes | 58c | 25.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…017cbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-19?this page
- Will FC Nantes vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Nantes win on 2025-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.