WNBA · resolved market
Sparks vs Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3156720533a56fad33f859f220b735cee76c6aa6808088ef7514f6c2d5a994b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skyof Sparks, Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Sky | 12c | 4,284$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Sparks | 67c | 2,090$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sky | 33c | 2,089$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.33 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sky | 34c | 2,050$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.99 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sparks | 74c | 1,778$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.7 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sparks | 66c | 1,210$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.29 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sky | 31c | 1,066$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.86 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sparks | 70c | 953.03$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.45 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Sky | 18c | 884.75$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +206.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Sky | 38c | 777$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.5 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Sparks | 65c | 752.31$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sky | 35c | 634.31$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.3 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Sky | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Sparks | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Sparks | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Sky | 33c | 102.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sky | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sky | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Sky | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…565fbacked Sparks | 66c | 65.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sky | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Sparks | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Sky | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Sky | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Sparks | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…c530backed Sparks | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.