CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Metizport (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4294baae96647ead8ea9ea248a09e8b4eafd660334be730799a97e01052880c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metizportof KOLESIE, Metizport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,808 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Metizport | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.99 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked KOLESIE | 54c | 1,679$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.43 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Metizport | 53c | 869.04$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.04 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Metizport | 45c | 758.48$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.51 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed KOLESIE | 34c | 580.7$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.41 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…85f6backed KOLESIE | 67c | 511.27$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed KOLESIE | 53c | 469.86$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.31 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked KOLESIE | 64c | 442.11$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.37 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Metizport | 42c | 405.86$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.49 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Metizport | 58c | 400.75$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed KOLESIE | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Metizport | 46c | 372.24$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.01 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Metizport | 50c | 365.77$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Metizport | 48c | 356.34$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.07 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked KOLESIE | 54c | 345.9$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.79 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…b2b4backed KOLESIE | 58c | 344.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Metizport | 49c | 326.51$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd39…f8d8backed KOLESIE | 56c | 314.93$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed KOLESIE | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked KOLESIE | 53c | 284.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Metizport | 25c | 258.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.49 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Metizport | 44c | 210.23$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.73 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked KOLESIE | 66c | 205.85$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Metizport | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…0283backed Metizport | 48c | 182.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b1…f087backed KOLESIE | 52c | 182.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed KOLESIE | 63c | 177.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…b779backed KOLESIE | 51c | 172.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…7b51backed KOLESIE | 51c | 144.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Metizport | 64c | 141.26$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked KOLESIE | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Metizport | 39c | 137.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed KOLESIE | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Metizport | 47c | 127.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked KOLESIE | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Metizport | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed KOLESIE | 41c | 119.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Metizport | 43c | 119.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked KOLESIE | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked KOLESIE | 51c | 102.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1277backed Metizport | 14c | 100.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked Metizport | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked KOLESIE | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ba…e8ccbacked KOLESIE | 55c | 96.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked KOLESIE | 52c | 95.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Metizport | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Metizport | 63c | 79.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed KOLESIE | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Metizport | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Metizport | 58c | 69.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5f…8fe3backed Metizport | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked KOLESIE | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Metizport | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Metizport | 43c | 58.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed KOLESIE | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked KOLESIE | 30c | 50.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Metizport | 35c | 46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked KOLESIE | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed Metizport | 52c | 42.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed KOLESIE | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Metizport | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Metizport | 48c | 32.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed KOLESIE | 54c | 31.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Metizport | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked KOLESIE | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Metizport | 65c | 21.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked KOLESIE | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…49c2backed KOLESIE | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.